Protesters in Egypt and Lebanon have proclaimed today a “day of rage” with Lebanese Sunnis protesting against the nomination of the new prime minister, and Egyptians protesting against the Mubarak government.
The situations in Egypt and Lebanon have very, very little in common, if anything at all.
Hezbollah with a backing of Syria engineered a collapse of the Lebanese government. Once the Lebanese government fell apart, premonitions of a return to civil war started making their appearance in the Lebanese media.
In this whole scenario though, Syria and Hezbollah knew that they held the upper hand. If anyone wanted to avoid a bigger conflict, and that includes the Americans, the Saudis, and many of Lebanon’s own factions, then they would have to come to Syria to negotiate on Syrian terms. Those terms meant getting rid of Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri and also neutralizing the Special Tribunal for Lebanon investigating his father’s murder, and that investigation was putting at risk a number of Hezbollah and Syrian officials.
In Egypt, lots of fear is rising over whether Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak will be dealt the same fate as Tunisian President Ben Ali who was overthrown in a popular revolt. In trying to take advantage of the Tunisia situation, a small group of Facebook mobilized protesters, called the April 6 Youth Movement, have mobilized today in this “day of rage.”
This is where we really need to factor in the differences between Egypt and Tunisia, and one the biggest factors to look at is the U.S. The broader strategic interest for the United States right now is to maintain stability within Egypt and to ensure a smooth transition between Mubarak and his successor. Now this is not only vital to the U.S. interest, but also to the Israelis, who do not want to see a crisis erupted in the country that could be exploited by Egypt’s well-organized Islamist movement.
So amidst all of these concerns and these protests it’s very little coincidence that the Egyptian army chief of staff is in Washington right now, with the U.S. getting assurances from the Egyptian army that the army will not abandon Mubarak like the Tunisian army did with Ben Ali.
Source; STRATFOR Intelligence Group
To the above story must be added the anti-government protests in Jordan and the political firestorm raging among the Palestinian communities in Gaza, Judea and Samaria (known to most of the world as the West Bank.) There have also been violent street demonstrations in Algeria, Morocco and Albania in recent days.
Before you smile over the misfortune of Israel’s Arab neighbors, remember that chaos on your border is never a good thing. Israel is already hosting almost 40,000 refugees from conflicts in Sudan and Eritrea, and it’s putting a tremendous strain on this country. If Egypt, Lebanon or Jordan fall apart, the resulting humanitarian crises will have a very negative effect on Israel as well, to say nothing of the human tragedy that will ensue.
This is a time to pray, and pray hard, for the nation of Israel and for the Believing Church in these predominantly Moslem countries. Also pray for the innocent people who will get trampled on during these events. And pray that these events be used to turn the hearts of many to Yeshua Ha’Mashiac (Jesus Christ) the only One who can save anyone.
The protesters in these countries are looking for political freedom, but they should be more concerned with spiritual freedom from slavery to the darkness of Islam, which is much worse than political slavery to any earthly dictator.
II Samuel 22:3:
My God, my rock, in whom I take refuge, My shield and the horn of my salvation, my stronghold and my refuge; My savior, You save me from violence.
Written by Aaron