A reformist victory would bring a thankful end to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s presidency. But there ought not be any illusions about the impact Mousavi or Karroubi could have on Iranian society.
As was made clear during the presidency of Ahmadinejad’s reformist predecessor, Mohammad Khatami, the conservative establishment does not go quietly into the opposition when its candidates lose.
For all the reforms made during the Khatami era, real power in Iran never left the hands of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The supreme leader’s conservative allies retained control over the security forces, as well as the judiciary and the media, and simply circumvented the rule of law when their stranglehold on the country was challenged. The writer co-founded the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Source: Boston Globe
Comment written by Mohsen Sazegara. He is co-founder of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and served the Islamic Republic in a number of government positions, including deputy prime minister for political affairs.